What are the limitations of current stock market forecasting methods? | 5 Answers from Research papers (2024)

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Current stock market forecasting methods have several limitations. The volatile nature of stock values makes it difficult to predict accurately . Historical data and technical indicators, which are commonly used in these methods, may not capture all relevant factors . Additionally, the complexity of stock market data poses challenges in creating accurate prediction models . Disappearing gradient is a fundamental issue faced by current models, especially recurrent neural networks . Furthermore, the entry of new investors into the stock market adds to the uncertainty of predictions . To overcome these limitations, incorporating financial news, stock forum data, and social media sentiments can enhance the accuracy of stock prediction methods . The use of varied deep learning methodologies, such as Deep Learning Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, has shown promising results in forecasting stock market prices .

Related Questions

How can machine learning be used to forecast stock prices?5 answersMachine learning can be used to forecast stock prices by analyzing large datasets and identifying patterns and trends that may signal future changes in stock prices. It can also be used to find correlations between stock prices and external factors, helping to make decisions about when to buy, sell, or hold stocks. Various machine learning models, such as regression and classification models, can be employed to predict future stock prices based on historical data. These models are evaluated based on their accuracy scores, measured as a percentage of accuracy. Additionally, machine learning algorithms can be used to detect anomalies in the market, such as insider trading and market manipulation. Overall, machine learning offers a valuable tool for stock price estimation and prediction, providing investors with fast and real-time information for making informed decisions.What are the best techniques for predicting stock market prices?4 answersThe best techniques for predicting stock market prices are XGBoost, RNN, LSTM, and ensemble classifiers. These techniques have been proven to be more efficient in forecasting stock trends and providing accurate predictions. XGBoost, RNN, and LSTM are machine learning models that extract significant features from historical stock data and model the temporal dependencies in the data. Ensemble classifiers, such as AdaBoost, bagging, and voting classifiers, have also been used for stock market analysis and have achieved high accuracy in predicting stock prices. The use of long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) techniques has consistently provided the best results in predicting stock prices across different sectors. Overall, these techniques offer valuable tools for investors to make informed decisions in the stock market.What are the challenges of using AI in financial forecasting?5 answersThe challenges of using AI in financial forecasting include processing a large amount of data and making predictions based on that analysis, dealing with noisy and dynamic data, and considering the impact of numerous unknown events on the stock market. Additionally, the low correlation between features extracted from financial data and their associated labels poses a challenge in feature engineering for financial forecasting. Furthermore, the current stock market-related forecast methodologies have major flaws, indicating the need for an integrated process in stock prediction. The use of AI in financial accounting also faces challenges, such as the need for more generalizable knowledge and ensuring employee acceptance of machine learning algorithms. Overall, the challenges in using AI for financial forecasting lie in data processing, feature engineering, model accuracy, and acceptance of AI-based approaches.Can deep learning be used to predict stock prices more accurately than traditional methods?4 answersDeep learning can be used to predict stock prices more accurately than traditional methods. Researchers have increasingly replaced traditional machine learning methods with deep learning approaches in this domain. Regression models for stock price forecasting developed using deep learning have shown accurate predictions. A deep learning model based on Multi-Input LSTM (MI-LSTM) has achieved more than 10% loss reduction, promising higher potential trading profits. Deep learning methodologies, such as Deep Learning (DL) Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, have demonstrated promising forecasting results for stock market prices. These findings suggest that deep learning techniques can enhance predictive accuracy in stock price prediction.What are the disadvantages of stock market?5 answersThe disadvantages of the stock market include instability in the capital market, destabilization of currency value, and hindrance to international trade and finance. Additionally, stock markets can be subject to long swings away from fundamentals-based values, leading to distortions within the economy and potential downturns. The immaturity of stock markets can also result in issues such as low efficiency of investment and financing, uneven distribution of resources, and income and risk mismatch. Furthermore, the lack of professional knowledge reserves and mature investment philosophy among small and medium-sized investors can contribute to irrational and speculative decision-making, impacting the overall maturity of the market.What are the main problems and limitations of existing publications on transfer learning with LSTM stock forecasting?5 answersExisting publications on transfer learning with LSTM stock forecasting face several problems and limitations. One major issue is the difficulty in constructing the neural network and adjusting hyperparameters, which requires significant effort and often fails to find an optimal solution. Another problem is the potential loss of important features and the need for optimization in mining long-term timing rules. Additionally, traditional methods using technical analysis often result in poor generalization and prediction due to the large number of input variables, overlapping data information, and the influence of outliers. Furthermore, applying deep learning models, including LSTM, to short time series data can lead to poor performance and hinder accuracy in time series forecasting. Lastly, the limited availability of data samples, such as corporate trading data, can pose a challenge in developing accurate models.
What are the limitations of current stock market forecasting methods? | 5 Answers from Research papers (2024)
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